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Nie będzie sankcji.

The prospect of conflict between Ukraine and Russia has the oil market on edge. In a tight market, any significant disruptions could send prices well above $100 per barrel. Already concerned about high energy prices, the White House seems unlikely to impose sanctions that would directly target Russian exports of crude or petroleum products.

Russia is one of the world’s three largest oil producers, along with the United States and Saudi Arabia, and plays a central role in OPEC+ (the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers). Russia’s December crude output was about 10 million barrels per day (b/d), and its total liquids production (including condensate, which is exempt from OPEC quotas) was nearly 10.9 million b/d. Russia exported about 4.3 million b/d in crude last year, equivalent to 4.5 percent of global demand, including 2.6 million b/d to Europe via pipeline and seaborne exports. It also exported about 1.6 million b/d in refined products to Europe. The Druzhba pipeline sends crude supplies to Belarus, Poland, and Germany through a northern arm and Slovakia, Hungary, and the Czech Republic through a southern arm that transits Ukraine. Russia also exported about 1.4 million b/d of crude oil to Asia in 2021, via the East Siberia Pacific Ocean (ESPO) pipeline system and waterborne exports. Russia’s exports to the United States have grown in the past three years, with crude and product exports reaching a monthly average of 705,000 b/d in the first 10 months of 2021. U.S. refineries import Russian crudes including Urals and ESPO blend as well as fuel oil and feedstocks for blending purposes.

Źródło: CSIS

#geopolityka #ropa #usa #rosja #sankcje

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@przegryzam: > Oil will “certainly” hit $120 a barrel and the global economy will be “radically altered” if Russia invades Ukraine, veteran strategist David Roche has predicted.

Źródło: CNBC